Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 518.006227 550.731513 584.727645 622.739899 664.127802 707.903679 757.808424
2026-01-25 476.862954 522.076597 570.930591 627.852842 692.620320 764.334188 850.178602
2026-02-01 450.724968 503.783096 562.741961 633.520367 716.715925 812.066039 930.573778
2026-02-08 431.477145 490.470984 557.548952 640.098201 739.827652 857.552806 1008.740060
2026-02-15 412.774378 475.875358 549.022844 640.962915 754.692095 892.447602 1074.566486
2026-02-22 396.644582 462.971035 541.177771 641.342240 767.905529 924.844765 1137.955443
2026-03-01 383.936835 453.230964 536.223400 644.383425 783.791206 960.532544 1206.763686
2026-03-08 370.664794 441.958228 528.537875 643.144717 793.535713 988.096853 1265.645396
2026-03-15 359.624124 432.818292 522.870536 643.842581 805.323559 1018.336038 1329.284411
2026-03-22 349.149242 423.837488 516.838265 643.492971 815.288704 1046.112776 1390.556966
2026-03-29 339.676477 415.671793 511.374688 643.408401 825.255073 1073.940612 1453.055099
2026-04-05 332.406966 409.998040 508.801090 646.869469 839.941455 1108.708366 1527.422138
2026-04-12 324.210105 402.811421 503.934898 646.942602 849.794784 1136.957725 1593.699387
2026-04-19 318.599481 398.788071 503.042328 652.296678 867.156661 1176.690309 1679.879842
2026-04-26 313.593152 395.340988 502.707395 658.262696 885.454445 1218.463471 1771.742469
2026-05-03 309.247989 392.587766 503.135277 665.186618 905.271365 1263.292986 1871.320391
2026-05-10 303.063664 387.097866 499.543876 666.096931 916.012323 1294.502726 1950.205928
2026-05-17 297.055221 381.638288 495.764960 666.496264 925.844151 1324.561856 2028.902921
2026-05-24 292.296680 377.739551 494.002466 669.698013 939.959759 1361.936645 2122.637751
2026-05-31 286.332980 371.967739 489.368486 668.393874 946.901409 1387.881216 2197.689313
2026-06-07 281.304588 367.353393 486.214451 669.128595 956.963662 1419.277966 2284.623715
2026-06-14 276.176990 362.444302 482.460238 668.760518 965.148917 1447.792943 2368.071614
2026-06-21 271.367804 357.849232 479.002465 668.671482 973.683957 1477.178564 2455.125958